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Dollar Nears Parity With Euro – Euro Update

Continued weakness with the euro has become a focal point with currency markets as the central bank of Europe continued with its stimulus efforts by keeping key rates at historical lows in Europe. The combination of Brexit and ECB stimulus efforts have gradually been adding downward pressure on the euro throughout the year. The […]

By |January 13th, 2017|Latest News|0 Comments

Big Government Causes Slow Growth

In 1930, Pluto was declared the ninth planet.  In 2007, it was demoted to “dwarf planet” status by astronomers after considering new evidence.  There are now only eight planets.

 

Also in the 1930s, the ideas of John Maynard Keynes came of age.  In spite of a massive amount of evidence that these ideas don’t work, […]

By |January 11th, 2017|Latest News|0 Comments

U.S. Dollar Finishes Higher For 2016 – Currency Market Review

The U.S. dollar had strong gains against various major currencies in 2016. Clarity surrounding the Fed’s decision to start raising rates along with anticipated growth expectations from Trump’s policies have catapulted the dollar. Both the anticipation of higher rates and a growing economy can help send currencies higher. The dollar is up over 20% […]

By |January 9th, 2017|Latest News|0 Comments

Macro Overview / Year In Review

A year-end equity rally induced by a Trump victory lost momentum towards the end of December as doubts surfaced regarding Trump’s success in garnering support for his proposals from both Republicans and Democrats in the House and Senate.

 

Two thousand sixteen was laden with uncertainty surrounding rates, growth, oil, the election, and Brexit. The S&P […]

By |January 6th, 2017|Latest News|0 Comments

Watch the Spending

President-elect Trump wants a Race Horse Economy, not a continuation of the Plow Horse we’ve had for the past several years.

 

Out of all of his proposals, the one that should help the economy the most is corporate tax reform, in particular a big cut in the tax rate on profits to 15% or 20% […]

By |January 3rd, 2017|Latest News|0 Comments

2017: Dow 23,750, S&P 2700

We have used the metaphor of the “Plow Horse” to define the US economy since 2009 – an economy driven by new technology and entrepreneurship (fracking, the cloud, smartphones, big data…), but held back by the friction of a growing and burdensome government.

 

Since mid-2009, real (inflation-adjusted) economic growth averaged a Plow Horse-like 2.1% per […]

By |December 30th, 2016|Latest News|0 Comments

U.S. Has Among Highest Corporate Tax Rates – Fiscal Policy Review

One of Trump’s fiscal proposals is to reduce the inherently high U.S. corporate tax rate from 35% to 15%. The United States currently has one of the highest corporate tax rates of any country worldwide at 35%.  The average corporate rate globally is just over 23%.

 

Some countries maintain low tax rates or no corporate […]

By |December 23rd, 2016|Latest News|0 Comments

Rates Heading Higher – Fixed Income Update

Bond markets reversed their long-term trend of descending yields as economic growth expectations and inflationary pressures mounted.

 

The anticipation of lower taxes sent demand for municipal bonds down. A primary reason for buying munis is the tax benefit of municipal interest, thus resulting in a drop in muni prices in November.

 

High-yield corporate bonds enjoyed a […]

By |December 21st, 2016|Latest News|0 Comments

Greedy Innkeeper or Generous Capitalist?

The Bible story of the virgin birth is at the center of much of the holiday cheer this time of year.  The book of Luke tells us that Mary and Joseph traveled to Bethlehem because Caesar Augustus decreed a census should be taken.  Mary gave birth after arriving in Bethlehem and placed baby Jesus […]

By |December 19th, 2016|Latest News|0 Comments

Stock Indices Reach New Highs – Domestic Equity Overview

Many analysts believe that the stock market rally following Trump’s election reflects the expectations of a new era of fiscal stimulus. Both economists and analysts agree that the Fed has basically exhausted all of its stimulus efforts by means of using traditional and newly devised monetary policy tools that are now considered ineffective.

 

Small caps […]

By |December 19th, 2016|Latest News|0 Comments